Primeira Liga
Monday, 11 May 2026, 19:15 (Europe/Warsaw)
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
Vitória de Guimaraes vs Casa Pia – AI prediction
VIT
Vitória de Guimaraes
VS
CAS
Casa Pia
0 : 1
✗ Miss
AI Confidence
Home win
77%
1
55%
X
27%
2
18%
AI Analysis
Vitória de Guimaraes has a clear advantage in form and statistics over a weak Casa Pia. The Monte Carlo simulation indicates a 53.2% chance of a home win, and their xG (1.505) is almost double that of the visitors (0.809). Casa Pia has lost 4 of their last 5 matches, making them unreliable. No injuries or fatigue on either side change the picture. Therefore, I predict a Vitória win with moderate confidence.
Key Factors
Casa Pia's terrible form (4 losses in 5 matches)
Vitória's xG advantage (1.505 vs 0.809)
No injuries or fatigue on either side
Form (last 5)
Vitória de Guimaraes
L
W
W
D
W
Casa Pia
L
L
L
D
L
Head to Head (1)
28.12.2025
Casa Pia – Vitória de Guimaraes
0:0
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.