Superligaen
Sunday, 01 November 2026, 13:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Viborg Stadion
Viborg FF vs AC Horsens – AI prediction
VIB
Viborg FF
VS
AC
AC Horsens
1 : 0
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Viborg FF or AC Horsens (no draw)
68%
1
36%
X
26%
2
38%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation indicates an advantage for the away team (42.9% vs 30.2%), confirmed by Horsens' better form and higher ELO. Market quotations favor the home team, so I adjust probabilities toward the market but maintain a slight away advantage. I lower the draw probability in line with the historical bias of overestimating draws.
Key Factors
Discrepancy between simulation and market quotations (away 42.9% vs market 30%)
Declining form of the home team (33% fitness) versus stable form of the away team (60%)
Historical bias: overestimation of draws — lowering draw_prob
Form (last 5)
Viborg FF
L
L
W
L
W
AC Horsens
W
D
D
W
L
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only and do not guarantee accuracy. Decisions based on them are at the user’s own risk.