Ligue 1
Sunday, 10 May 2026, 19:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Stadium Municipal de Toulouse
Toulouse vs Lyon – AI prediction
TOU
Toulouse
VS
LYO
Lyon
2 : 1
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Toulouse or Lyon wins (no draw)
71%
1
34%
X
25%
2
41%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation indicates a balanced match, but Lyon's form is clearly better (3 wins in last 5, including against PSG). Toulouse has a poor run (4 games without a win) and a lower ELO rating. Betting odds confirm the visitors' advantage (2.7 vs 2.5). Therefore, I adjust the probability in favor of Lyon.
Key Factors
Lyon in excellent form (3 wins in last 5)
Toulouse in crisis (4 games without a win)
Higher ELO rating for Lyon (1542 vs 1415)
Form (last 5)
Toulouse
W
D
L
L
L
Lyon
W
W
W
W
D
Head to Head (1)
05.10.2025
Lyon – Toulouse
1:2
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.