WNBA
Sunday, 20 September 2026, 19:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Coca-Cola Coliseum
Toronto Tempo – New York Liberty: AI prediction & pick
TOR
Toronto Tempo
VS
NEW
New York Liberty
AI Confidence
Home win
52%
1
52%
2
48%
AI Analysis
The Monte Carlo simulation gives 62% to the home team, but ELO (28.5%) and bookmaker odds (40%) strongly contradict this — a 22pp gap requires correction. Liberty have higher ELO, a positive season record and more table points, despite shorter rest. Toronto won the last H2H, giving them a chance, but the visitors' quality advantage is clear. Ultimately I predict a close game with a slight edge to Liberty.
Key Factors
ELO: Liberty 1611 vs Tempo 1412 — clear advantage for visitors
Bookmaker odds: 40% home vs 30% away (de-vigged) — market indicates a close game with slight home edge
Rest: Tempo 70 days vs Liberty 50 days — freshness advantage for hosts
H2H: Tempo won the last meeting 93:91 — but only one game
Form (last 5)
Toronto Tempo
W
L
L
W
W
New York Liberty
W
D
L
L
W
Head to Head (1)
12.07.2026
Toronto Tempo – New York Liberty
93:91
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.