Primeira Liga
Monday, 11 May 2026, 19:15 (Europe/Warsaw)
Estádio João Cardoso
Tondela vs Moreirense – AI prediction
TON
Tondela
VS
MOR
Moreirense
2 : 0
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Tondela or Moreirense (no draw)
71%
1
32%
X
28%
2
40%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation indicates away advantage (40% win), consistent with Moreirense's better form (3 wins in 5 matches) and higher xG (1.265 vs 1.086). No injuries and equal rest do not change the picture. The most likely score is 0:1 (11.01% in simulation).
Key Factors
Better away form (3 wins in 5 matches vs 1 for hosts)
Higher xG and ELO rating for Moreirense
No injuries on either side, equal rest
Form (last 5)
Tondela
W
D
L
L
D
Moreirense
W
L
W
D
L
Head to Head (1)
11.01.2026
Moreirense – Tondela
1:0
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only and do not guarantee accuracy. Decisions based on them are at the user’s own risk.