Ligue 1
Sunday, 01 November 2026, 14:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg vs AJ Auxerre – AI prediction
STR
Strasbourg
VS
AJ
AJ Auxerre
5 : 1
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Home win
43%
1
43%
X
28%
2
29%
AI Analysis
The hosts have the simulation advantage (xG 1.825 vs 1.218) and H2H, but their form (3 defeats) and condition 27% are alarming. Market quotations and ELO indicate a more balanced match than the simulation, so I adjust the probabilities toward the market. Despite the crisis, Strasbourg remains a minimal favorite thanks to the home advantage and higher xG, but the risk is high — a draw and an away win are realistic.
Key Factors
Hosts' form crisis (3 consecutive defeats) and very low condition 27% vs 53% for the guests
Discrepancy between simulation (49.2% for the hosts) and market quotations (40%) and ELO (42%) — the market sees a more balanced match
High BTTS (61.7%) and Over 2.5 (59.9%) with weak defenses of both teams (64 and 50 goals conceded)
Form (last 5)
Strasbourg
L
L
L
W
W
AJ Auxerre
D
W
L
W
W
Head to Head (2)
07.03.2026
AJ Auxerre – Strasbourg
0:0
29.10.2025
Strasbourg – AJ Auxerre
3:0
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only and do not guarantee accuracy. Decisions based on them are at the user’s own risk.