Bundesliga
Sunday, 03 May 2026, 13:30 (Europe/Warsaw)
Millerntor-Stadion
St. Pauli vs Mainz – AI prediction
ST.
St. Pauli
VS
MAI
Mainz
1 : 2
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
St. Pauli or Mainz wins (no draw)
71%
1
30%
X
29%
2
41%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation indicates Mainz's advantage (41.2% win probability), consistent with their better form (51 points vs St. Pauli's 26) and higher ELO rating. St. Pauli has very poor form (0 wins in last 5 matches) and low points, making them underdogs. No injuries or news alter the picture, so I keep simulation probabilities.
Key Factors
Poor form of St. Pauli (0 wins in last 5 matches)
Higher ELO rating of Mainz (1488 vs 1432)
No injuries in either team
Form (last 5)
St. Pauli
L
D
L
D
L
Mainz
L
D
L
L
W
Head to Head (1)
21.12.2025
Mainz – St. Pauli
0:0
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.