St Mirren – Hibernian: AI prediction & pick
St Mirren have a clearly better form (10 pts vs 3 pts), higher xG and a rest advantage, which is confirmed by the Monte Carlo simulation. Hibernian are in the relegation zone with critical condition (20%), making it difficult for them to earn points. History shows draws are overestimated, so draw_prob was lowered, but the visitors' motivation could give them extra energy, hence away_prob was slightly increased.
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