Eredivisie
Sunday, 17 May 2026, 12:30 (Europe/Warsaw)
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior – AI prediction
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
VS
EXC
Excelsior
2 : 3
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Sparta Rotterdam or Excelsior (no draw)
71%
1
33%
X
25%
2
42%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation indicates an advantage for Excelsior (42.1% win probability), consistent with their better form (2 wins in last 5 matches) and higher ELO rating. Market quotations confirm a balanced match with a slight favorite in the away team. No injuries or fresh news require probability adjustment.
Key Factors
Better form of Excelsior (2 wins in last 5 matches)
Higher ELO rating of the away team (1494 vs 1439)
Monte Carlo simulation indicates away advantage (42.1%)
Form (last 5)
Sparta Rotterdam
L
D
L
L
D
Excelsior
D
W
W
D
L
Head to Head (1)
14.09.2025
Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam
0:1
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only and do not guarantee accuracy. Decisions based on them are at the user’s own risk.