Home team has better form, higher ELO rating and xG advantage, confirmed by Monte Carlo simulation (50.8% win). Away team has weaker form and stats, but longer rest may help them hold a draw.
Key Factors
Better form of home team (3W-2D) and H2H win 3:1
Higher ELO rating (1572 vs 1509) and xG advantage (1.63 vs 1.049)
Home team fatigue (1 day rest) may reduce advantage
Form (last 5)
Saint Francis Red Flash
W
W
D
W
D
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
L
D
L
D
W
Head to Head (2)
18.04.2026Saint Francis Red Flash – Fairleigh Dickinson Knights3:1
17.04.2026Saint Francis Red Flash – Fairleigh Dickinson Knights0:0
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