NBA
Monday, 26 October 2026, 01:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Golden 1 Center
Sacramento Kings – Memphis Grizzlies: AI prediction & pick
SAC
Sacramento Kings
VS
MEM
Memphis Grizzlies
AI Confidence
Home win
69%
1
78%
2
22%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation gives Kings 91.4%, but this is inconsistent with bookmaker odds (~57% without draw) and ELO (76.7%). I corrected the probability down to 68% because odds and ELO point to a more balanced game, and Simmons' injury weakens the hosts. Despite both teams' poor form, Kings have higher ELO, home court advantage and longer rest, so they remain favourites.
Key Factors
Discrepancy between simulation (91.4%) and odds (~57%) and ELO (76.7%) — odds take priority
Simmons' injury in Kings (news from 2026-10-19)
Both teams in poor form (4 losses in 5 games), but Kings have higher ELO and home court advantage
Form (last 5)
Sacramento Kings
L
L
L
L
W
Memphis Grizzlies
L
L
D
L
L
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.