WNBA
Saturday, 18 July 2026, 02:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Mortgage Matchup Center
Phoenix Mercury – Connecticut Sun: AI prediction & pick
PHO
Phoenix Mercury
VS
CON
Connecticut Sun
AI Confidence
Home win
77%
1
51%
X
14%
2
35%
AI Analysis
Despite the balanced Monte Carlo simulation, Phoenix Mercury has a significant advantage in ELO rating (1624 vs 1266) and longer rest (27 days vs 3 days), which should translate into better performance. Connecticut Sun's poor form (WLLLL) further weakens their chances. Therefore, the probability was adjusted in favor of the home team.
Key Factors
Home team's ELO advantage (1624 vs 1266)
Longer rest for Phoenix (27 days vs 3 days)
Poor away form (WLLLL)
Form (last 5)
Phoenix Mercury
W
L
W
L
L
Connecticut Sun
W
L
L
L
L
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.