Primera Division Uruguay
Saturday, 01 August 2026, 21:30 (Europe/Warsaw)
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Peñarol – Cerro Largo: AI prediction & pick
PE�
Peñarol
VS
CER
Cerro Largo
3 : 0
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Home win
51%
1
51%
X
26%
2
23%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation shows Peñarol advantage (50.9% win), consistent with their higher xG, better H2H, and longer rest. Cerro Largo has good form and high condition, increasing their scoring chances and keeping the match tight. The title race context may favor a draw, but Peñarol's offensive stats tip the balance.
Key Factors
Peñarol has xG advantage (1.885 vs 1.222) and better H2H record
Cerro Largo has higher condition (73%) and longer unbeaten run
Title race match – both teams motivated, increasing draw probability
Form (last 5)
Peñarol
W
D
L
W
W
Cerro Largo
W
D
D
W
W
Head to Head (1)
11.05.2026
Cerro Largo – Peñarol
2:3
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.