Super League Greece
Sunday, 01 November 2026, 17:30 (Europe/Warsaw)
Athens Olympic Stadium
Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens – AI prediction
PAN
Panathinaikos
VS
AEK
AEK Athens
2 : 0
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Home win
46%
1
46%
X
27%
2
27%
AI Analysis
Panathinaikos is in excellent form (4 wins in 5 matches) and leads the table, while AEK is struggling with low fitness (40%) and a poor run. The Monte Carlo simulation gives the hosts 50.5%, but market quotations (40/30/30) and the visitors' higher ELO suggest a more balanced contest, so I adjust slightly toward a draw and the visitors. The most likely score is 2:1, in line with the top simulation results.
Key Factors
Very strong hosts' form (4W/5) and leading position vs the visitors' weaker run
AEK's low fitness (40%) and heavy defeats against strong opponents
Market quotations (40/30/30) more balanced than the simulation — the market sees a derby character
Visitors' higher ELO (1540 vs 1528) and an extra rest day
Form (last 5)
Panathinaikos
W
W
W
W
L
AEK Athens
W
L
D
L
W
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only and do not guarantee accuracy. Decisions based on them are at the user’s own risk.