Although the simulation indicates a perfectly balanced match, form data (4 wins for OKC in last 5 games) and huge ELO rating advantage (86.8% chance) suggest higher chances for the home team. Oklahoma recently beat Phoenix 136:109 and has longer rest.
Key Factors
Extremely balanced Monte Carlo simulation
Significant advantage of Oklahoma City Thunder in ELO ranking and form
No injuries in both teams
High probability of many points (over 2.5: 98.5%)
Form (last 5)
Oklahoma City Thunder
W
W
W
L
W
Phoenix Suns
W
L
W
L
W
Head to Head (4)
12.02.2026Phoenix Suns – Oklahoma City Thunder109:136
05.01.2026Phoenix Suns – Oklahoma City Thunder108:105
11.12.2025Oklahoma City Thunder – Phoenix Suns138:89
29.11.2025Oklahoma City Thunder – Phoenix Suns123:119
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