MLS
Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 23:30 (Europe/Warsaw)
Gillette Stadium
New England Revolution – Red Bull New York: AI prediction & pick
NEW
New England Revolution
VS
RED
Red Bull New York
AI Confidence
Home win
48%
1
48%
X
22%
2
30%
AI Analysis
New England Revolution have a clear form advantage (4W-1D) and higher ELO, confirmed by the simulation (54.2% win probability). However, bookmaker odds (40%/30%/30%) suggest a more balanced match, so I adjusted probabilities toward the market. The home team's declining fitness and the away team's rising fitness may narrow the gap, but home advantage and title motivation prevail.
Key Factors
Home team form (4W-1D) vs poor away form (2W-3L)
Home team ELO advantage (1525 vs 1465) and higher xG (2.005 vs 1.242)
Bookmaker odds indicate a more balanced match than the simulation
Motivation: home team fighting for the title, away team for European push
Form (last 5)
New England Revolution
W
W
W
D
W
Red Bull New York
W
L
L
W
L
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.