WNBA
Friday, 18 September 2026, 23:30 (Europe/Warsaw)
Target Center
Minnesota Lynx – New York Liberty: AI prediction & pick
MIN
Minnesota Lynx
VS
NEW
New York Liberty
AI Confidence
Home win
70%
1
75%
2
25%
AI Analysis
Minnesota Lynx are in excellent form (5 straight wins), have a higher ELO rating and won the direct matchup against Liberty. The Monte Carlo simulation gives them an 85% chance, but bookmaker odds suggest a more balanced contest, so I adjust the probability to 68%. I also account for the historical bias of underestimating home teams.
Key Factors
Five straight wins for Minnesota Lynx and a direct win over Liberty (90:85)
Higher ELO for the hosts (1871 vs 1611) and higher average points (94.9 vs 81.5)
Bookmaker odds indicate a more balanced match than the Monte Carlo simulation
Form (last 5)
Minnesota Lynx
W
W
W
W
W
New York Liberty
W
D
L
L
W
Head to Head (1)
11.07.2026
Minnesota Lynx – New York Liberty
90:85
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.