Mexico – Ecuador: AI prediction & pick

The Monte Carlo simulation indicates a slight advantage for Mexico (47.2% win probability), consistent with their excellent form (3 wins, 2 draws) and longer rest period (25 days vs Ecuador's 5 days). Betting odds (2.5/3.3/2.7) confirm this picture, providing no basis for adjustment. Ecuador has solid form, but shorter rest may be a handicap. The most likely score is 2:1, matching the top simulation results.