Super Lig
Saturday, 09 May 2026, 17:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu
Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük – AI prediction
KOC
Kocaelispor
VS
FAT
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 1
✗ Miss
AI Confidence
Kocaelispor or draw
68%
1
38%
X
32%
2
30%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation indicates a slight home advantage (37.8% vs 30.6% away), consistent with higher ELO rating and better points tally of Kocaelispor. Both teams are in poor form, but hosts have home advantage.
Key Factors
Poor form of both teams (home LDDDL, away DLLWL)
Low xG (1.029 vs 0.882) and expected low-scoring match
Market quotations consistent with simulation (difference <5pp)
Form (last 5)
Kocaelispor
D
L
D
D
D
Fatih Karagümrük
W
D
L
L
W
Head to Head (1)
14.12.2025
Fatih Karagümrük – Kocaelispor
1:1
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only and do not guarantee accuracy. Decisions based on them are at the user’s own risk.