Ivory Coast – Norway: AI prediction & pick
Although the Monte Carlo simulation indicates a 54% chance for the hosts, the betting odds (2.5) imply a lower probability (around 40%). After a 10pp downward correction, the hosts remain favorites due to excellent form (4 wins in 5 matches) and higher Elo. The visitors have poor form and low xG, limiting their chances. A draw is possible (23.1% in simulation), but Ivory Coast's advantage should tip the scales.
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