Primeira Liga
Monday, 11 May 2026, 19:15 (Europe/Warsaw)
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente – Arouca: AI prediction & pick
GIL
Gil Vicente
VS
ARO
Arouca
1 : 3
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Home win
71%
1
46%
X
24%
2
30%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation indicates a slight advantage for Gil Vicente (46.4% win probability), consistent with their better form and higher xG. Betting odds confirm this trend, and no injuries alter the balance. Despite the match being close, the hosts have a statistical edge, making them the favorite.
Key Factors
Better form of Gil Vicente (2W, 2D, 1L vs 1W, 1D, 3L for Arouca)
Higher xG for hosts (1.716 vs 1.339) and corner kick advantage
No injuries or suspensions on either side, leaving the balance unchanged
Form (last 5)
Gil Vicente
D
W
L
D
W
Arouca
D
L
W
L
W
Head to Head (1)
28.12.2025
Arouca – Gil Vicente
2:2
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.