Primera Division Chile
Sunday, 16 August 2026, 00:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Estadio Sausalito
Everton CD – Audax Italiano: AI prediction & pick
EVE
Everton CD
VS
AUD
Audax Italiano
AI Confidence
Home win
50%
1
50%
X
28%
2
22%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation indicates home advantage (48.1% vs 23%), confirmed by higher xG (1.535 vs 0.993) and better form (Everton CD has 1 win and 2 draws in last 5 matches, while Audax Italiano only 1 win). Bookmaker odds (40% de-vig) are similar but slightly lower for home. Additionally, historical bias shows underestimation of home wins, leading to a slight upward correction.
Key Factors
Higher xG for home team (1.535 vs 0.993)
Weaker form of away team (3 losses in 5 matches)
Historical bias: underestimation of home wins
Form (last 5)
Everton CD
L
D
L
W
D
Audax Italiano
W
D
L
L
L
Head to Head (1)
22.02.2026
Audax Italiano – Everton CD
1:0
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.