La Liga
Saturday, 09 May 2026, 12:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche – Alavés: AI prediction & pick
ELC
Elche
VS
ALA
Alavés
1 : 1
✗ Miss
AI Confidence
Elche or Alavés wins (no draw)
68%
1
34%
X
23%
2
43%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation shows a slight advantage for Alavés (42.7% win probability) with higher xG (1.701 vs 1.492). Betting odds confirm this trend, and no injuries or fatigue differences affect the probabilities. The match is balanced, but Alavés has a slightly higher chance to win, supported by the most likely scoreline of 1:2 (8.92%).
Key Factors
Higher xG for Alavés (1.701 vs 1.492) indicates better chance creation
Betting odds (2.5/3.3/2.7) align with simulation, confirming a balanced match with slight away favorite
No injuries and equal rest (6 days) do not require probability adjustments
Form (last 5)
Elche
L
W
W
W
L
Alavés
L
W
L
D
D
Head to Head (1)
05.10.2025
Alavés – Elche
3:1
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.