Liga 1 Peru
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 23:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Deportivo Garcilaso – Los Chankas: AI prediction & pick
DEP
Deportivo Garcilaso
VS
LOS
Los Chankas
4 : 1
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Home win
40%
1
40%
X
28%
2
32%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation and bookmaker odds indicate a slight advantage for the home team (around 38-40%), confirmed by higher ELO and home-field advantage. The away team's form is better, but their lower table position and negative goal difference favor the hosts. Historical bias shows I overestimate draws, so I keep draw_prob at the simulation level (28%) rather than increasing it despite the balanced nature of the match.
Key Factors
Home-field advantage and higher ELO for the hosts (1539 vs 1493)
Better short-term form for the away team (WWLWD) versus mixed form for the hosts (LWWLW)
Motivation: hosts pushing for European spots, guests fighting relegation — may increase away determination
Form (last 5)
Deportivo Garcilaso
L
W
W
L
W
Los Chankas
W
W
L
W
D
Head to Head (1)
04.05.2026
Los Chankas – Deportivo Garcilaso
0:1
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.