Liga BetPlay
Monday, 26 October 2026, 01:15 (Europe/Warsaw)
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Pasto: AI prediction & pick
DEP
Deportes Tolima
VS
DEP
Deportivo Pasto
0 : 1
✗ Miss
AI Confidence
Home win
50%
1
50%
X
28%
2
22%
AI Analysis
Deportes Tolima has home advantage, higher ELO, and longer rest, while Deportivo Pasto is in crisis (5 straight losses) with the league's worst defense. The Monte Carlo simulation gives the hosts 53.7%, but bookmaker odds suggest slightly higher chances for the away team and a draw, so I adjust slightly. I expect a home win, but with a possible goal for the visitors.
Key Factors
Home advantage and higher ELO for the hosts
Catastrophic away form (5 straight losses) and worst defense in the league
Away team fatigue (3 days rest) vs hosts (7 days)
Form (last 5)
Deportes Tolima
L
L
W
W
D
Deportivo Pasto
L
L
L
L
L
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.