Primera Division Paraguay
Sunday, 16 August 2026, 13:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Estadio ueno La Nueva Olla
Cerro Porteño – Sportivo San Lorenzo: AI prediction & pick
CER
Cerro Porteño
VS
SPO
Sportivo San Lorenzo
AI Confidence
Home win
70%
1
69%
X
20%
2
11%
AI Analysis
The hosts are clear favorites according to the simulation (63.7%) and statistics. The visitors have very poor form and falling condition. Additionally, H2H favors the hosts. The bookmaker odds (40%) are lower than the simulation, indicating potential value. I adjusted the home win probability up by 5 percentage points due to the opponent's weakness.
Key Factors
Very poor form of the visitors (1 win in 5 matches, falling condition)
Clear advantage of the hosts in season statistics (41 pts vs 5 pts)
H2H: 2 wins for the hosts, 0 draws, 0 losses
Monte Carlo simulation: 63.7% chance of home win
Form (last 5)
Cerro Porteño
W
L
L
W
L
Sportivo San Lorenzo
L
L
D
W
L
Head to Head (2)
28.03.2026
Cerro Porteño – Sportivo San Lorenzo
2:0
27.01.2026
Sportivo San Lorenzo – Cerro Porteño
2:4
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.