Celta Vigo – Levante: AI prediction & pick
Despite Levante's better form, Celta Vigo has home advantage and higher xG (1.593 vs 1.207). Bookmaker odds (2.5 home) suggest a slight edge for the hosts, but the difference is minimal. Monte Carlo simulation favors Celta (47.2%), but a 7pp downward correction accounts for the visitors' better form. I predict a home win with moderate confidence.
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