Caykur Rizespor – Trabzonspor: AI prediction & pick

Trabzonspor has better form, higher ELO and H2H advantage, but plays after only 3 days of rest versus Rizespor's 9, which weakens their edge. Bookmaker odds (40% for home) are clearly higher than the simulation (28.6%), so I adjust probabilities toward the market while keeping a slight away edge due to form and quality. I lower the draw in line with my own bias of overestimating draws.