Primeira Liga
Sunday, 16 August 2026, 19:30 (Europe/Warsaw)
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Casa Pia – Benfica: AI prediction & pick
CAS
Casa Pia
VS
BEN
Benfica
AI Confidence
Away win
60%
1
19%
X
21%
2
60%
AI Analysis
Benfica has clearly better form, statistics, and ELO. Monte Carlo simulation gives them 55.2% chance, and the +5pp correction is due to their advantage in key indicators. Casa Pia is in poor form, increasing the likelihood of an away win. The most likely score is 0:2, consistent with the top 5 simulation results.
Key Factors
Benfica's dominance in season stats (75:27 goals)
Casa Pia's poor form (1 win in 5 matches)
Benfica's high ELO (1692 vs 1469)
Form (last 5)
Casa Pia
D
W
L
L
L
Benfica
D
W
D
D
W
Head to Head (2)
06.04.2026
Casa Pia – Benfica
1:1
09.11.2025
Benfica – Casa Pia
2:2
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.