Premier League
Sunday, 10 May 2026, 13:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Turf Moor
Burnley – Aston Villa: AI prediction & pick
BUR
Burnley
VS
AST
Aston Villa
2 : 2
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Away win
77%
1
24%
X
24%
2
52%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation shows a clear advantage for Aston Villa (51.5% win probability). Burnley's terrible form (5 consecutive losses) and higher ELO rating of the visitors confirm this trend. Despite Aston Villa's shorter rest period, the quality difference is significant. The most likely score is 0:2, consistent with the top 5 simulation results.
Key Factors
Burnley's terrible form (5 consecutive losses)
Aston Villa's higher ELO rating (1578 vs 1407)
Aston Villa's short rest (2 days) may reduce advantage
Form (last 5)
Burnley
L
L
L
L
L
Aston Villa
W
L
L
L
W
Head to Head (1)
05.10.2025
Aston Villa – Burnley
2:1
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.