Ligue 1
Wednesday, 13 May 2026, 17:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Brest – Strasbourg: AI prediction & pick
BRE
Brest
VS
STR
Strasbourg
1 : 2
✗ Miss
AI Confidence
Home win
68%
1
48%
X
26%
2
26%
AI Analysis
Despite Brest's poor form, the Monte Carlo simulation indicates home advantage (43.1% win probability) and higher xG (1.4 vs 1.137). The odds (2.5 for home) suggest Brest is undervalued, offering value. Strasbourg has a better ELO rating and league position but poor away form. The match is balanced, but xG advantage and odds value favor the hosts.
Key Factors
Very poor form of Brest (0 wins in last 5 matches)
Higher ELO ranking and better league position of Strasbourg
Value in odds for home team (simulation 43.1% vs odds 37.3%)
xG advantage for Brest (1.4 vs 1.137)
Form (last 5)
Brest
L
L
D
D
L
Strasbourg
D
L
L
L
W
Head to Head (1)
30.11.2025
Strasbourg – Brest
1:2
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.