Europa League
Thursday, 09 April 2026, 19:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna vs Aston Villa – AI prediction
BOL
Bologna
VS
AST
Aston Villa
1 : 3
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Bologna or Aston Villa (no draw)
65%
1
43%
X
28%
2
29%
AI Analysis
The prediction is based on Monte Carlo simulation results indicating a slight advantage for Bologna, confirmed by better recent form and Elo rating. The balanced nature of the match and high probability of a draw (second most frequent score 1:1) increase the draw probability. Confidence is moderate, in line with historical accuracy in the Europa League (64.7%) and the match type.
Key Factors
Better form of the home team in recent matches
Balanced strength (Elo rating difference only 16 points)
Form (last 5)
Bologna
W
L
W
W
D
Aston Villa
W
W
L
W
L
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only and do not guarantee accuracy. Decisions based on them are at the user’s own risk.