Ball State Cardinals – McKendree Bearcats: AI prediction & pick

Ball State Cardinals are clear favorites due to good form (WWWLW), two wins this season against McKendree, and higher offensive statistics (xG 2.284). The upward correction of the draw probability stems from the large discrepancy between the simulation (19.4%) and the betting odds (implied ~28.3%), suggesting the market sees a greater chance of a draw. McKendree has poor form (WLLLL) and lower parameters, but an equal rest period gives them a chance for a more compact game.