WNBA
Sunday, 16 August 2026, 21:00 (Europe/Warsaw)
State Farm Arena
Atlanta Dream – Indiana Fever: AI prediction & pick
ATL
Atlanta Dream
VS
IND
Indiana Fever
AI Confidence
Away win
60%
1
40%
2
60%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation indicates an away win (65.6%), but bookmaker odds and ELO suggest higher chances for the home team. Despite this, Indiana Fever has higher xPts and better point differential, while Atlanta has lower condition. I adjusted probabilities towards the home team by 5.6pp, but kept the away advantage.
Key Factors
Form: Atlanta WLLWW vs Indiana LLLWL
H2H: Atlanta won last meeting 113:96
Bookmaker odds: 40% for home, 30% for away (de-vig)
ELO: Atlanta 1620 vs Indiana 1532
Form (last 5)
Atlanta Dream
W
L
L
W
W
Indiana Fever
L
L
L
W
L
Head to Head (1)
20.06.2026
Atlanta Dream – Indiana Fever
113:96
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.