Serie A
Monday, 04 May 2026, 18:45 (Europe/Warsaw)
Olimpico
AS Roma – Fiorentina: AI prediction & pick
AS
AS Roma
VS
FIO
Fiorentina
4 : 0
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Home win
76%
1
55%
X
24%
2
21%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation indicates Roma's advantage (55.2% win chance), consistent with higher xG (1.765 vs 0.981) and better form (3 wins in last 5 matches). Fiorentina has a weaker points total (53 vs 69) and lower xG, limiting their chances. No injuries or news require adjustment, so I keep probabilities close to simulation.
Key Factors
AS Roma has higher xG (1.765 vs 0.981) and better form
Fiorentina has weaker season points total (53 vs 69)
No injuries or fresh news from the internet
Form (last 5)
AS Roma
W
D
W
L
W
Fiorentina
D
D
W
W
L
Head to Head (1)
05.10.2025
Fiorentina – AS Roma
1:2
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.