Liga 1 Peru
Sunday, 02 August 2026, 01:30 (Europe/Warsaw)
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Alianza Lima – Alianza Atlético: AI prediction & pick
ALI
Alianza Lima
VS
ALI
Alianza Atlético
3 : 1
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Home win
43%
1
43%
X
29%
2
29%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation indicates home advantage (45.4% win), but bookmaker odds (40%) and higher ELO of visitors (1524 vs 1504) suggest a balanced match. Nevertheless, Alianza Lima's good form (4 unbeaten games) and motivation (european_push) give them a slight edge. I expect a 2:1 home win, but with moderate confidence.
Key Factors
Bookmaker odds indicate lower home win probability than simulation.
ELO rating of visitors is higher than hosts, suggesting a balanced match.
Home form is declining while away form is rising, potentially affecting the outcome.
Form (last 5)
Alianza Lima
D
W
W
W
D
Alianza Atlético
W
L
L
D
W
Head to Head (1)
15.02.2026
Alianza Atlético – Alianza Lima
0:0
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.