La Liga
Saturday, 02 May 2026, 16:30 (Europe/Warsaw)
Mendizorrotza
Alavés – Athletic Club: AI prediction & pick
ALA
Alavés
VS
ATH
Athletic Club
2 : 4
✓ Hit
AI Confidence
Home win
77%
1
50%
X
24%
2
26%
AI Analysis
Monte Carlo simulation shows Alavés advantage (50.2% win probability), supported by higher xG, better recent form, and higher ELO rating. Betting odds are close to simulation, and no injuries or news alter the picture. Despite Athletic Club having more season points, weaker form and lower xG favor the hosts.
Key Factors
Higher xG for Alavés (1.695 vs 1.126)
Better recent form for Alavés (WLDDW vs LWLLW)
Higher ELO rating for hosts (1506 vs 1437)
Form (last 5)
Alavés
W
L
D
D
W
Athletic Club
L
W
L
L
W
Head to Head (1)
13.09.2025
Athletic Club – Alavés
0:1
AI predictions are for entertainment and educational purposes only. They do not guarantee winnings or profits. Decisions based on them are at the user's own risk.