Alanyaspor – Samsunspor: AI prediction & pick

Although the Monte Carlo simulation indicates a slight home advantage, the away team's form is significantly better – Samsunspor won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Alanyaspor won only 1. The higher ELO rating of the visitors and their victory over strong Besiktas support a probability correction in favor of the away team. The match is balanced, but the visitors' form advantage is a key factor.